FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.78 – 191.78

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 87.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 93.3 ±13.3

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 26.22Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 33.48Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 28.08Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 392.7 ±11.2

10629Bath High School Bee-Botics

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -24.72Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 184.28Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11503TALONS

Season APEX 88.2Event APEX 32.22Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5704, 4776, 7818

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5704, 4776, 7818

Auto

9.9 12%

Teleop

37.6 44%

Endgame

38.5 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10629, 2137, 11503

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10629, 2137, 11503

Auto

65.6 35%

Teleop

74.4 40%

Endgame

47.6 25%

Strengths

· 2137 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.8pts

Blue projected score191.8pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104
Score range: 63–217
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 379 vs event baseline 137.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

93.3Season APEX392.7

9.9Auto65.6

37.6Teleop74.4

38.5Endgame47.6

25Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	66
teleop	15	162
endgame	23	101
foul	0	0
total	50	329

Result

Final score

50 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 87.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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