FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.25 – 51.49

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 8.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.1 ±12.7

5926Da Moose

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 96.38Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -23.65Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 22.52Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.2 ±13.9

11444Cougar Claw Robotics

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 19.5Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9237The Dragonators

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 15.47Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9753Team Success

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 16.52Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5926, 8374, 7289

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5926, 8374, 7289

Auto

15.7 17%

Teleop

35.1 38%

Endgame

41.8 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11444, 9237, 9753

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11444, 9237, 9753

Auto

14.1 25%

Teleop

12.7 23%

Endgame

28.5 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.2pts

Blue projected score51.5pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.8
Score range: 26–120
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 132 vs event baseline 140.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.1Season APEX143.2

15.7Auto14.1

35.1Teleop12.7

41.8Endgame28.5

138Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	13
teleop	19	22
endgame	26	18
foul	0	0
total	79	53

Result

Final score

79 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 8.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.