FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

342.32 – 53.45

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

463 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 107.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 607 ±10.7

2137The Oxford RoboCats

Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 178.21Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 155.09Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 9.02Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.6 ±13.9

7226Error 404

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 36.92Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9753Team Success

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 8.28Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 8.25Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2137, 7166, 5225

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2137, 7166, 5225

Auto

81.4 23%

Teleop

198.6 57%

Endgame

67.1 19%

Strengths

· 2137 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7226, 9753, 7289

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7226, 9753, 7289

Auto

24.2 45%

Teleop

13.2 25%

Endgame

16.1 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.6 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score342.3pts

Blue projected score53.5pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 288.9
Score range: 29–366
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 610 vs event baseline 133.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

607Season APEX156.6

81.4Auto24.2

198.6Teleop13.2

67.1Endgame16.1

102Consistency130

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	30
teleop	254	71
endgame	122	46
foul	0	0
total	463	147

Result

Final score

463 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 107.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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