FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

165.94 – 170.56

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

132 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.7 ±11.7

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 60.31Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5926Da Moose

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 116.96Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10629Bath High School Bee-Botics

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -11.33Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 474 ±11.2

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 40.04Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 114.21Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8362Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 16.31Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4327, 5926, 10629

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4327, 5926, 10629

Auto

18.3 11%

Teleop

96.1 59%

Endgame

47.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8424, 8608, 8362

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8424, 8608, 8362

Auto

24.5 14%

Teleop

108.6 63%

Endgame

39.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.9pts

Blue projected score170.6pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.6
Score range: 142–195
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 131.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.7Season APEX474

18.3Auto24.5

96.1Teleop108.6

47.6Endgame39.5

89Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	35
teleop	46	112
endgame	57	65
foul	10	5
total	132	217

Result

Final score

132 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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