FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.34 – 0

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

95 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.7 ±12.4

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 60.83Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 40.54Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 27.97Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 107.3 ±12.7

8374Bongo Bots

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX -20.3Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 2.59Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9203Quake

Season APEX 34.7Event APEX -0.13Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7818, 3707, 9238

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7818, 3707, 9238

Auto

32.6 26%

Teleop

58.9 46%

Endgame

36.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8374, 4776, 9203

/ 100 compat

Projected

-17.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8374, 4776, 9203

Auto

-5.3 28%

Teleop

-17.9 94%

Endgame

4.2 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.3pts

Blue projected score-17.8pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 129.3
Score range: -24–153
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 132.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

308.7Season APEX107.3

32.6Auto-5.3

58.9Teleop-17.9

36Endgame4.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	9
teleop	49	13
endgame	30	11
foul	0	0
total	95	33

Result

Final score

95 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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