FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.03 – 131.1

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.7 ±11.7

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX -1.66Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8424Tractor Technicians Next Gen

Season APEX 118.3Event APEX 30.29Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6085Green Devil Bots

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 9.4Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.4 ±12.4

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 74.63Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10606The Foley Flare

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 5.17Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 51.3Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7289, 8424, 6085

/ 100 compat

Projected

38 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7289, 8424, 6085

Auto

16.0 44%

Teleop

4.4 12%

Endgame

16.3 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8608, 10606, 7818

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8608, 10606, 7818

Auto

20.0 16%

Teleop

82.1 64%

Endgame

26.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38pts

Blue projected score131.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.1
Score range: 13–156
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 292 vs event baseline 136.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.7Season APEX386.4

16Auto20

4.4Teleop82.1

16.3Endgame26.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	34
teleop	31	105
endgame	25	68
foul	0	0
total	85	207

Result

Final score

85 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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