Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
141.18 – 233.96
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
226 – 338
Prediction correct · off by 94.4 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 386.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 36.36Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 28.18Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 76.64Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 583.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 17.5Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 269.8Event APEX 128.67Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 87.79Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9237, 7226, 5712
73
/ 100 compatProjected
141.2 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9237, 7226, 5712
Auto
42.3 30%
Teleop
76.8 55%
Endgame
21.7 15%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3707, 2137, 5926
89
/ 100 compatProjected
234 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3707, 2137, 5926
Auto
53.8 23%
Teleop
130.5 56%
Endgame
48.1 21%
Strengths
- · 2137 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score141.2pts
Blue projected score234pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -92.8
- Score range
- 119–256
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
386.7Season APEX583.1
42.3Auto53.8
76.8Teleop130.5
21.7Endgame48.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 87 |
| teleop | 111 | 190 |
| endgame | 58 | 61 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 226 | 338 |
Result
Final score
226 – 338
Prediction correct · off by 94.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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