FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

148.94 – 106.03

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 190

Prediction missed · off by 60 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.9 ±12.2

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 10.01Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7056The F.A.S.T. Team - Fowlerville Area Scientific Technicians

Season APEX 161.5Event APEX 125.63Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 13.3Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.6 ±11.7

7166Red Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 273.7Event APEX 64.36Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3655Tractor Technicians

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 28.37Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9753Team Success

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 13.3Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4776, 7056, 1940

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4776, 7056, 1940

Auto

37.8 25%

Teleop

69.3 47%

Endgame

41.9 28%

Strengths

· 7056 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7166, 3655, 9753

/ 100 compat

Projected

106 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7166, 3655, 9753

Auto

21.1 20%

Teleop

59.8 57%

Endgame

24.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148.9pts

Blue projected score106pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.9
Score range: 84–171
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 120.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.9Season APEX345.6

37.8Auto21.1

69.3Teleop59.8

41.9Endgame24.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	38
teleop	68	107
endgame	36	45
foul	0	0
total	113	190

Result

Final score

113 – 190

Prediction missed · off by 60 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.