FIM District Mason Event presented by Altair

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

128.12 – 91.66

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

131 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.6 ±11.1

4327Q Branch

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 77.38Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 25.49Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7491Cyber Soldiers

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 25.25Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 159.4 ±12.2

9238Jaybots

Season APEX 42.9Event APEX 19.9Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6085Green Devil Bots

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 42.87Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4776S.C.O.T.S. Bots

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 28.89Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4327, 10577, 7491

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4327, 10577, 7491

Auto

25.5 20%

Teleop

64.5 51%

Endgame

35.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9238, 6085, 4776

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9238, 6085, 4776

Auto

23.9 27%

Teleop

33.8 38%

Endgame

30.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.1pts

Blue projected score91.7pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.5
Score range: 64–156
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 158.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257.6Season APEX159.4

25.5Auto23.9

64.5Teleop33.8

35.7Endgame30.3

63Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	10
teleop	71	9
endgame	39	38
foul	0	0
total	131	57

Result

Final score

131 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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