Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

326.2 – 165.5

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

417 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 58.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 615.3 ±9.3

1718The Fighting Pi

Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 18.65Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 155.85Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 151.7Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.7 ±11

5860Full Metal Muskrats

Season APEX 103.3Event APEX 10.62Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4779RoboSapiens

Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 73Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

894The Power Chargers

Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 81.88Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1718, 3539, 33

/ 100 compat

Projected

326.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1718, 3539, 33

Auto

76.8 24%

Teleop

184.6 57%

Endgame

62.2 19%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5860, 4779, 894

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5860, 4779, 894

Auto

28.9 17%

Teleop

97.7 59%

Endgame

39.7 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score326.2pts

Blue projected score165.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160.7
Score range: 141–351
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 608 vs event baseline 139.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

615.3Season APEX386.7

76.8Auto28.9

184.6Teleop97.7

62.2Endgame39.7

11Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	44
teleop	219	86
endgame	99	51
foul	10	10
total	417	191

Result

Final score

417 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 58.2 pts

Match videos

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