Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
163.48 – 129
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
172 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 13.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 386.7 ±11
Season APEX 103.3Event APEX 10.91Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 72.78Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 79.79Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 520.4 ±9.9
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 30.95Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 49.59Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 48.46Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5860, 4779, 894
68
/ 100 compatProjected
163.5 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5860, 4779, 894
Auto
23.8 14%
Teleop
98.3 60%
Endgame
42.2 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1506, 3667, 818
59
/ 100 compatProjected
129 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 1506, 3667, 818
Auto
23.3 19%
Teleop
68.9 55%
Endgame
32.5 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score163.5pts
Blue projected score129pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 34.5
- Score range
- 104–188
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
386.7Season APEX520.4
23.8Auto23.3
98.3Teleop68.9
42.2Endgame32.5
18Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 26 |
| teleop | 90 | 56 |
| endgame | 28 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 172 | 111 |
Result
Final score
172 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 13.3 pts
Match videos
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