Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

328.04 – 118.31

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

337 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 65.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 615.3 ±9.3

1718The Fighting Pi

Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 19.74Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 155.82Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 152.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.7 ±11.1

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 30.09Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 38.77Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

51Wings of Fire

Season APEX 237Event APEX 49.45Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1718, 3539, 33

/ 100 compat

Projected

328 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1718, 3539, 33

Auto

74.1 23%

Teleop

185.2 57%

Endgame

66.2 20%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6120, 7211, 51

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6120, 7211, 51

Auto

10.6 9%

Teleop

67.9 58%

Endgame

38.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score328pts

Blue projected score118.3pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 209.7
Score range: 94–352
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 578 vs event baseline 135.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

615.3Season APEX423.7

74.1Auto10.6

185.2Teleop67.9

66.2Endgame38.9

37Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	30
teleop	190	129
endgame	46	82
foul	5	0
total	337	241

Result

Final score

337 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 65.8 pts

Match videos

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