Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

249.35 – 258.89

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

200 – 193

Prediction missed · off by 57.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 531.3 ±9.9

4130The Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 26.34Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 116.88Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 106.13Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 456.2 ±10.5

9558The Steel Vipers

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 14.26Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1498The Polar Pilots

Season APEX 250.1Event APEX 136.09Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 108.54Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4130, 2851, 9245

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4130, 2851, 9245

Auto

62.3 26%

Teleop

127.0 53%

Endgame

50.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9558, 1498, 5843

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9558, 1498, 5843

Auto

40.6 16%

Teleop

152.1 59%

Endgame

65.6 25%

Strengths

· 1498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249.4pts

Blue projected score258.9pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.5
Score range: 222–286
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 393 vs event baseline 147.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

531.3Season APEX456.2

62.3Auto40.6

127Teleop152.1

50.1Endgame65.6

5Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	43
teleop	73	101
endgame	43	49
foul	0	0
total	200	193

Result

Final score

200 – 193

Prediction missed · off by 57.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.