Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.86 – 234.59

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 324

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.9 ±12.8

1718The Fighting Pi

Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 19.31Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7597Team HorsePowered

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 36.33Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 12.22Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 558.7 ±9.9

1498The Polar Pilots

Season APEX 250.1Event APEX 124.2Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9251EliteBots

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 9.28Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 101.11Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1718, 7597, 4994

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1718, 7597, 4994

Auto

23.9 38%

Teleop

32.4 52%

Endgame

6.0 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1498, 9251, 2851

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1498, 9251, 2851

Auto

42.9 18%

Teleop

145.9 63%

Endgame

43.9 19%

Strengths

· 1498 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.9pts

Blue projected score234.6pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -166.7
Score range: 44–259
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 135.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.9Season APEX558.7

23.9Auto42.9

32.4Teleop145.9

6Endgame43.9

42Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	42
teleop	25	222
endgame	17	60
foul	0	0
total	72	324

Result

Final score

72 – 324

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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