Qualification · Qualification 76
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
78.82 – 8.65
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
165 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 85.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.4 ±12.1
Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 45.95Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 21.05Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 11.82Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 12.74Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.4Event APEX -8.48Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 4.39Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3667, 8728, 5167
50
/ 100 compatProjected
78.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3667, 8728, 5167
Auto
22.9 29%
Teleop
39.3 50%
Endgame
16.1 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9183, 8364, 9528
4
/ 100 compatProjected
8.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9183, 8364, 9528
Auto
10.3 78%
Teleop
-10.1 0%
Endgame
13.0 98%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score78.8pts
Blue projected score8.6pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 70.2
- Score range
- -15–103
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
230.4Season APEX157.1
22.9Auto10.3
39.3Teleop-10.1
16.1Endgame13
59Consistency39
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 18 |
| teleop | 113 | 45 |
| endgame | 26 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 165 | 93 |
Result
Final score
165 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 85.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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