Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.56 – 175.21

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.8 ±13.3

7813New Haven RoboRaptors

Season APEX 41Event APEX -0.42Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9747ElectroPanthers II

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 29.65Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9558The Steel Vipers

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 10.33Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.9 ±11.6

4130The Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 25.23Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5926Da Moose

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 64.41Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

894The Power Chargers

Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 85.57Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7813, 9747, 9558

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7813, 9747, 9558

Auto

22.8 58%

Teleop

6.1 16%

Endgame

10.3 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4130, 5926, 894

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4130, 5926, 894

Auto

27.2 16%

Teleop

91.6 53%

Endgame

55.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.6pts

Blue projected score175.2pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -135.6
Score range: 16–199
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 132.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.8Season APEX268.9

22.8Auto27.2

6.1Teleop91.6

10.3Endgame55.5

31Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	37
teleop	22	72
endgame	16	42
foul	0	0
total	55	151

Result

Final score

55 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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