Qualification · Qualification 73
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
152.8 – 97.22
67%33%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
211 – 119
Prediction correct · off by 40 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 412.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 90.74Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 7.22Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 54.84Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 14.52Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 20.83Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 61.87Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5843, 9251, 10349
72
/ 100 compatProjected
152.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5843, 9251, 10349
Auto
26.7 18%
Teleop
81.0 54%
Endgame
43.6 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7247, 1718, 4779
52
/ 100 compatProjected
97.2 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7247, 1718, 4779
Auto
29.6 31%
Teleop
49.5 51%
Endgame
17.9 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score152.8pts
Blue projected score97.2pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 55.6
- Score range
- 73–177
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
412.1Season APEX320.6
26.7Auto29.6
81Teleop49.5
43.6Endgame17.9
76Consistency40
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 43 |
| teleop | 108 | 61 |
| endgame | 46 | 15 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 211 | 119 |
Result
Final score
211 – 119
Prediction correct · off by 40 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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