Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.9 – 137.83

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.3 ±13.3

7597Team HorsePowered

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 40.96Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 21.48Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5214The Mighty CavBots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 18.46Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 522.5 ±10.7

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 29.04Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 94.28Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5612Robo-Raptors

Season APEX 81Event APEX 14.51Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7597, 8728, 5214

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7597, 8728, 5214

Auto

22.0 31%

Teleop

36.4 51%

Endgame

12.9 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1506, 8280, 5612

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1506, 8280, 5612

Auto

24.3 17%

Teleop

71.2 51%

Endgame

43.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.9pts

Blue projected score137.8pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.9
Score range: 57–162
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 131.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.3Season APEX522.5

22Auto24.3

36.4Teleop71.2

12.9Endgame43.7

39Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	19
teleop	50	109
endgame	10	55
foul	0	0
total	79	183

Result

Final score

79 – 183

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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