Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

181.8 – 231.03

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

227 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 450.8 ±11.2

9528The Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 0.86Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 99.67Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

894The Power Chargers

Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 81.27Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.5 ±10.5

11493Pixel Knights

Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 43.13Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 150.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 37.42Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9528, 2851, 894

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9528, 2851, 894

Auto

36.7 20%

Teleop

100.0 54%

Endgame

47.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11493, 33, 7211

/ 100 compat

Projected

231 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11493, 33, 7211

Auto

36.0 15%

Teleop

132.7 57%

Endgame

64.1 28%

Strengths

· 33 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score181.8pts

Blue projected score231pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.2
Score range: 159–254
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 129.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

450.8Season APEX592.5

36.7Auto36

100Teleop132.7

47.8Endgame64.1

15Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	22
teleop	122	150
endgame	31	89
foul	0	0
total	227	261

Result

Final score

227 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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