Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

261.58 – 53.85

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

293 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520.4 ±10.7

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 13.95Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 140.69Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 106.94Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.1 ±12.1

5167Vi-Bots

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 11.45Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9558The Steel Vipers

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 12.29Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 30.11Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4994, 3539, 9245

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4994, 3539, 9245

Auto

72.4 28%

Teleop

146.0 56%

Endgame

42.7 16%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5167, 9558, 6120

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5167, 9558, 6120

Auto

26.1 47%

Teleop

13.5 24%

Endgame

15.9 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score261.6pts

Blue projected score53.9pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 207.7
Score range: 31–285
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 129.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520.4Season APEX180.1

72.4Auto26.1

146Teleop13.5

42.7Endgame15.9

6Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	20
teleop	163	32
endgame	73	9
foul	0	0
total	293	61

Result

Final score

293 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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