Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
54.82 – 53.69
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
44 – 73
Prediction missed · off by 15.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 36.8Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 24.54Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.4Event APEX -6.52Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190 ±13.9
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 12.95Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 29.56Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 11.18Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 453, 9252, 8364
38
/ 100 compatProjected
54.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 453, 9252, 8364
Auto
10.1 22%
Teleop
19.7 43%
Endgame
16.5 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9183, 9747, 6091
36
/ 100 compatProjected
53.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9183, 9747, 6091
Auto
14.8 31%
Teleop
18.2 38%
Endgame
14.5 31%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score54.8pts
Blue projected score53.7pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 1.1
- Score range
- 30–79
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
155.1Season APEX190
10.1Auto14.8
19.7Teleop18.2
16.5Endgame14.5
31Consistency26
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 18 |
| teleop | 15 | 37 |
| endgame | 15 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 44 | 73 |
Result
Final score
44 – 73
Prediction missed · off by 15.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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