Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

137.21 – 247.66

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.5 ±11.1

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 97.39Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5167Vi-Bots

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 15.13Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4130The Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 24.69Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 458 ±10.5

9558The Steel Vipers

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 13.63Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 152.39Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

894The Power Chargers

Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 81.64Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8280, 5167, 4130

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8280, 5167, 4130

Auto

24.2 18%

Teleop

59.0 43%

Endgame

53.8 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9558, 33, 894

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9558, 33, 894

Auto

45.4 18%

Teleop

138.0 55%

Endgame

66.9 27%

Strengths

· 33 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137.2pts

Blue projected score247.7pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.4
Score range: 114–271
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 129.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.5Season APEX458

24.2Auto45.4

59Teleop138

53.8Endgame66.9

32Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	55
teleop	57	142
endgame	44	44
foul	0	0
total	113	241

Result

Final score

113 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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