Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
81.93 – 73.98
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
118 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 26 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 188 ±12.7
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 27.62Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 43.14Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 11.17Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 31.6Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 11.01Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 31.37Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6120, 3667, 9183
47
/ 100 compatProjected
81.9 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6120, 3667, 9183
Auto
26.7 32%
Teleop
37.7 46%
Endgame
17.8 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1506, 4961, 9747
46
/ 100 compatProjected
74 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1506, 4961, 9747
Auto
20.6 29%
Teleop
36.1 50%
Endgame
15.0 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.41
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score81.9pts
Blue projected score74pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 8
- Score range
- 51–105
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
188Season APEX445.8
26.7Auto20.6
37.7Teleop36.1
17.8Endgame15
13Consistency32
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 21 |
| teleop | 64 | 22 |
| endgame | 18 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 118 | 58 |
Result
Final score
118 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 26 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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