Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.11 – 302.32

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 182.5 ±13.3

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 12.75Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9528The Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 7.94Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3667Mecanum Knights

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 45.42Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 553.4 ±9.3

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 98.36Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 105.28Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 98.68Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6344, 9528, 3667

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6344, 9528, 3667

Auto

21.5 32%

Teleop

33.3 50%

Endgame

11.8 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9245, 5843, 8280

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9245, 5843, 8280

Auto

56.5 19%

Teleop

156.5 52%

Endgame

85.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.1pts

Blue projected score302.3pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -236.2
Score range: 39–329
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 325 vs event baseline 149.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

182.5Season APEX553.4

21.5Auto56.5

33.3Teleop156.5

11.8Endgame85.4

41Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	50
teleop	15	148
endgame	16	89
foul	0	0
total	38	287

Result

Final score

38 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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