Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.59 – 132.31

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 47.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.5 ±12.7

9558The Steel Vipers

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX -7.35Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 31.01Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9252Wingspan

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 10.93Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283 ±12.8

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 93.89Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 10.35Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5612Robo-Raptors

Season APEX 81Event APEX 28.07Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9558, 7211, 9252

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9558, 7211, 9252

Auto

9.4 28%

Teleop

13.2 40%

Endgame

10.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5843, 6344, 5612

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5843, 6344, 5612

Auto

26.9 20%

Teleop

73.2 55%

Endgame

33.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.6pts

Blue projected score132.3pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.7
Score range: 12–155
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 127.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.5Season APEX283

9.4Auto26.9

13.2Teleop73.2

10.8Endgame33.6

121Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	35
teleop	49	65
endgame	53	16
foul	0	5
total	119	121

Result

Final score

119 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 47.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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