Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.76 – 150.75

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 95

Prediction missed · off by 48.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.7 ±12.8

9183RoboComets

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 15.62Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

894The Power Chargers

Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 75.31Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7597Team HorsePowered

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 30.83Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.3 ±11.1

818The Steel Armadillos

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 57.22Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5926Da Moose

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 49.72Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 43.81Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9183, 894, 7597

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9183, 894, 7597

Auto

17.2 15%

Teleop

70.7 62%

Endgame

26.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 818, 5926, 6120

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 818, 5926, 6120

Auto

32.7 23%

Teleop

76.7 53%

Endgame

34.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.8pts

Blue projected score150.8pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29
Score range: 99–174
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 127.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243.7Season APEX349.3

17.2Auto32.7

70.7Teleop76.7

26.6Endgame34.1

5Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	24
teleop	62	48
endgame	64	23
foul	0	0
total	163	95

Result

Final score

163 – 95

Prediction missed · off by 48.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.