Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.8 – 127.32

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

140 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.7 ±11.7

51Wings of Fire

Season APEX 237Event APEX 39.62Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7247Magical Smurfs

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX -4.29Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4130The Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 12.47Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359 ±12.4

9528The Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 3.37Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 82.17Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 41.78Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 51, 7247, 4130

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 51, 7247, 4130

Auto

15.6 35%

Teleop

8.8 20%

Endgame

20.0 45%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9528, 9245, 453

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9528, 9245, 453

Auto

28.7 24%

Teleop

71.6 60%

Endgame

18.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.8pts

Blue projected score127.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.5
Score range: 26–149
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 124.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.7Season APEX359

15.6Auto28.7

8.8Teleop71.6

20Endgame18.6

54Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	47
teleop	69	99
endgame	48	55
foul	5	0
total	140	201

Result

Final score

140 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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