Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

214.17 – 24.24

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

327 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 481.4 ±10.7

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -2.72Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 86.33Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 130.56Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.2 ±12.8

1718The Fighting Pi

Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 12.01Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7813New Haven RoboRaptors

Season APEX 41Event APEX -1.08Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6091Eagle 1

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 13.31Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6344, 8280, 3539

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6344, 8280, 3539

Auto

54.0 25%

Teleop

109.9 51%

Endgame

49.9 23%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1718, 7813, 6091

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1718, 7813, 6091

Auto

9.8 52%

Teleop

1.6 8%

Endgame

7.5 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score214.2pts

Blue projected score24.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 189.9
Score range: 2–236
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 123.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

481.4Season APEX197.2

54Auto9.8

109.9Teleop1.6

49.9Endgame7.5

72Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	34
teleop	202	22
endgame	66	13
foul	0	0
total	327	69

Result

Final score

327 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 78.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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