Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
178.03 – 24.23
87%13%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
160 – 28
Prediction correct · off by 10.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 88.49Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 58.22Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 31.32Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 8.48Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -9.27Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 25.02Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2851, 11493, 5214
79
/ 100 compatProjected
178 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2851, 11493, 5214
Auto
40.1 22%
Teleop
105.1 58%
Endgame
34.7 19%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9558, 6344, 9183
15
/ 100 compatProjected
24.2 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9558, 6344, 9183
Auto
15.3 52%
Teleop
21.0 71%
Endgame
-6.8 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score178pts
Blue projected score24.2pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 153.8
- Score range
- 2–200
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
535.1Season APEX167.9
40.1Auto15.3
105.1Teleop21
34.7Endgame-6.8
0Consistency124
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 10 |
| teleop | 76 | 14 |
| endgame | 48 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 160 | 28 |
Result
Final score
160 – 28
Prediction correct · off by 10.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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