Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

157.5 – 194.37

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

160 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.7 ±12.2

5167Vi-Bots

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 28.2Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 94.46Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9747ElectroPanthers II

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 34.84Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 503.8 ±10.7

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 25.23Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 112.15Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

818The Steel Armadillos

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 56.99Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5167, 5843, 9747

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5167, 5843, 9747

Auto

27.2 17%

Teleop

77.4 49%

Endgame

53.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4994, 33, 818

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4994, 33, 818

Auto

30.0 16%

Teleop

122.6 67%

Endgame

31.6 17%

Strengths

· 33 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.5pts

Blue projected score194.4pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.9
Score range: 137–215
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 118.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

284.7Season APEX503.8

27.2Auto30

77.4Teleop122.6

53.9Endgame31.6

100Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	59
teleop	51	132
endgame	60	48
foul	5	0
total	160	239

Result

Final score

160 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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