Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
156.95 – 56.3
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
139 – 96
Prediction correct · off by 28.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.8 ±11
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 34.03Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 62.33Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 60.59Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 73.85Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX -7.16Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41Event APEX -10.39Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6120, 4779, 11493
70
/ 100 compatProjected
157 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6120, 4779, 11493
Auto
17.2 10%
Teleop
95.4 58%
Endgame
53.3 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8280, 4961, 7813
26
/ 100 compatProjected
56.3 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8280, 4961, 7813
Auto
26.7 44%
Teleop
3.5 6%
Endgame
30.0 50%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score157pts
Blue projected score56.3pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 100.6
- Score range
- 34–179
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
448.8Season APEX306.7
17.2Auto26.7
95.4Teleop3.5
53.3Endgame30
31Consistency115
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 15 |
| teleop | 55 | 42 |
| endgame | 55 | 39 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 139 | 96 |
Result
Final score
139 – 96
Prediction correct · off by 28.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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