Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
136.65 – 90.02
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
105 – 131
Prediction missed · off by 36.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.4 ±11.6
Season APEX 103.3Event APEX 17.86Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 16.01Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 102.78Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 73.7Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 6.17Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 10.15Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5860, 9558, 5843
65
/ 100 compatProjected
136.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5860, 9558, 5843
Auto
11.9 9%
Teleop
78.5 58%
Endgame
45.5 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9245, 9183, 9251
55
/ 100 compatProjected
90 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9245, 9183, 9251
Auto
21.6 24%
Teleop
49.4 56%
Endgame
17.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score136.7pts
Blue projected score90pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 46.6
- Score range
- 68–159
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
309.4Season APEX339.6
11.9Auto21.6
78.5Teleop49.4
45.5Endgame17.9
57Consistency69
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 36 |
| teleop | 47 | 81 |
| endgame | 34 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 105 | 131 |
Result
Final score
105 – 131
Prediction missed · off by 36.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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