Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

145.84 – 113.47

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

188 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.5 ±12.2

5843Flurb

Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 90.17Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9183RoboComets

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 2.91Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5926Da Moose

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 52.76Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.1 ±12.8

7597Team HorsePowered

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 57.06Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11493Pixel Knights

Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 63.36Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6344Yale Jiggawattz

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -6.95Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5843, 9183, 5926

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5843, 9183, 5926

Auto

19.6 15%

Teleop

78.7 58%

Endgame

36.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7597, 11493, 6344

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7597, 11493, 6344

Auto

14.4 15%

Teleop

64.6 66%

Endgame

19.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score145.8pts

Blue projected score113.5pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.4
Score range: 92–167
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 243 vs event baseline 116.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.5Season APEX339.1

19.6Auto14.4

78.7Teleop64.6

36.8Endgame19.5

23Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	25
teleop	102	13
endgame	62	17
foul	0	0
total	188	55

Result

Final score

188 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.