Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 38.18
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
58 – 62
Prediction correct · off by 40.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.6 ±12.4
Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 5.67Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX -0.2Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41Event APEX -8.46Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.5 ±11.1
Season APEX 237Event APEX 26.71Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 9.82Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 1.65Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9528, 1506, 7813
6
/ 100 compatProjected
-3 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9528, 1506, 7813
Auto
11.7 0%
Teleop
-21.0 100%
Endgame
5.1 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 51, 9251, 9558
34
/ 100 compatProjected
38.2 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 51, 9251, 9558
Auto
4.5 11%
Teleop
14.6 37%
Endgame
20.1 51%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-3pts
Blue projected score38.2pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -38.2
- Score range
- -21–59
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
366.6Season APEX360.5
11.7Auto4.5
-21Teleop14.6
5.1Endgame20.1
124Consistency185
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 4 | 15 |
| teleop | 25 | 41 |
| endgame | 29 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 58 | 62 |
Result
Final score
58 – 62
Prediction correct · off by 40.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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