Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

184.83 – 246

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

176 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 53.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 495.1 ±10.7

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 69Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5214The Mighty CavBots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 58.39Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 57.44Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 633.6 ±9.3

894The Power Chargers

Season APEX 139.8Event APEX 48.4Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1498The Polar Pilots

Season APEX 250.1Event APEX 100.5Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 97.1Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9245, 5214, 10349

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9245, 5214, 10349

Auto

33.8 19%

Teleop

104.8 58%

Endgame

42.9 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 894, 1498, 3539

/ 100 compat

Projected

246 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 894, 1498, 3539

Auto

62.7 25%

Teleop

151.9 60%

Endgame

39.2 15%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score184.8pts

Blue projected score246pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -61.2
Score range: 165–266
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 112.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

495.1Season APEX633.6

33.8Auto62.7

104.8Teleop151.9

42.9Endgame39.2

16Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	56
teleop	85	183
endgame	41	106
foul	0	0
total	176	345

Result

Final score

176 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 53.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.