Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
86.36 – 72.7
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 68
Prediction missed · off by 22.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 103.3Event APEX 45.66Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 23.99Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 16.71Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 16.08Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 23.72Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 32.9Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5860, 5167, 4961
59
/ 100 compatProjected
86.4 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5860, 5167, 4961
Auto
15.7 16%
Teleop
51.2 51%
Endgame
33.2 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8728, 9747, 818
49
/ 100 compatProjected
72.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8728, 9747, 818
Auto
5.4 11%
Teleop
31.0 63%
Endgame
12.8 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.4pts
Blue projected score72.7pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 13.7
- Score range
- 52–107
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
229.2Season APEX427.1
15.7Auto5.4
51.2Teleop31
33.2Endgame12.8
179Consistency111
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 24 |
| teleop | 7 | 36 |
| endgame | 26 | 8 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 68 |
Result
Final score
46 – 68
Prediction missed · off by 22.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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