Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.07157.64

40%60%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69230

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 27.35Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 66.81Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 29.91Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.1 ±10.7
Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 32.67Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 44.01Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 80.96Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9252, 3667, 4994
62
/ 100 compat
Projected
124.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9252, 3667, 4994
Auto
14.7 12%
Teleop
70.0 59%
Endgame
33.7 28%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2851, 453, 8280
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
157.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2851, 453, 8280
Auto
32.7 24%
Teleop
89.3 64%
Endgame
16.8 12%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124.1pts
Blue projected score157.6pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-33.6
Score range
104178
Upset likelihood
40%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 299 vs event baseline 113.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154.6Season APEX493.1
14.7Auto32.7
70Teleop89.3
33.7Endgame16.8
45Consistency124

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2050
teleop20114
endgame2466
foul50
total69230

Result

Final score

69230

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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