Qualification · Qualification 21
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
77.52 – 79.5
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
77 – 54
Prediction missed · off by 13 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 43.4Event APEX -12.58Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 12.68Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 143.6Event APEX 77.42Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 35.68Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 41.98Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 1.84Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8364, 4130, 4779
50
/ 100 compatProjected
77.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8364, 4130, 4779
Auto
12.3 15%
Teleop
36.4 44%
Endgame
33.4 41%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7211, 1718, 6344
46
/ 100 compatProjected
79.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7211, 1718, 6344
Auto
12.7 17%
Teleop
47.9 65%
Endgame
12.7 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score77.5pts
Blue projected score79.5pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -2
- Score range
- 57–101
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
243.5Season APEX280.7
12.3Auto12.7
36.4Teleop47.9
33.4Endgame12.7
121Consistency66
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 22 |
| teleop | 42 | 28 |
| endgame | 28 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 77 | 54 |
Result
Final score
77 – 54
Prediction missed · off by 13 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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