Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.11 – 129.48

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 306.3 ±11.7

9528The Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX -7.64Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9558The Steel Vipers

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX -6.47Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 80.22Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.5 ±12.4

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 41.09Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7597Team HorsePowered

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 59.62Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

818The Steel Armadillos

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 28.77Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9528, 9558, 8280

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9528, 9558, 8280

Auto

13.7 22%

Teleop

23.9 39%

Endgame

23.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 453, 7597, 818

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 453, 7597, 818

Auto

18.5 15%

Teleop

75.9 60%

Endgame

31.6 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.1pts

Blue projected score129.5pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.4
Score range: 46–149
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 113.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

306.3Season APEX319.5

13.7Auto18.5

23.9Teleop75.9

23.7Endgame31.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	13
teleop	41	68
endgame	31	16
foul	0	60
total	97	157

Result

Final score

97 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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