Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.76 – 169.37

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.3 ±12.2

9747ElectroPanthers II

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 34.74Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6120CyberStangs

Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 60.58Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1718The Fighting Pi

Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 44.44Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.8 ±11.7

5214The Mighty CavBots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 53.33Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4130The Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 21Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 95.04Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9747, 6120, 1718

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9747, 6120, 1718

Auto

30.8 23%

Teleop

72.4 54%

Endgame

31.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5214, 4130, 33

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5214, 4130, 33

Auto

26.4 16%

Teleop

110.5 66%

Endgame

31.7 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.8pts

Blue projected score169.4pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.6
Score range: 120–189
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 111.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.3Season APEX374.8

30.8Auto26.4

72.4Teleop110.5

31.6Endgame31.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	45
teleop	71	94
endgame	16	29
foul	0	0
total	108	168

Result

Final score

108 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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