Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
132.74 – 39.52
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
144 – 237
Prediction missed · off by 104.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 446.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 237Event APEX 49.27Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 144.7Event APEX 84.07Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.5Event APEX -0.6Rank 40Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 13.8Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.1Event APEX 5.97Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 19.75Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 51, 5843, 9528
73
/ 100 compatProjected
132.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 51, 5843, 9528
Auto
11.7 9%
Teleop
71.9 53%
Endgame
51.4 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7597, 6120, 3539
31
/ 100 compatProjected
39.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7597, 6120, 3539
Auto
19.6 52%
Teleop
7.0 19%
Endgame
10.9 29%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score132.7pts
Blue projected score39.5pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 93.2
- Score range
- 20–153
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
446.2Season APEX376.5
11.7Auto19.6
71.9Teleop7
51.4Endgame10.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 68 |
| teleop | 59 | 125 |
| endgame | 62 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 144 | 237 |
Result
Final score
144 – 237
Prediction missed · off by 104.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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