Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

343.16 – 243.09

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

336 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 615.3 ±9.3

1718The Fighting Pi

Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 24.16Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 161.65Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 157.35Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 531.3 ±9.9

4130The Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 23.95Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 114.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9245Laker Dreadnoughts

Season APEX 228.3Event APEX 104.2Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1718, 3539, 33

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1718, 3539, 33

Auto

80.6 24%

Teleop

188.7 56%

Endgame

69.9 21%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4130, 2851, 9245

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4130, 2851, 9245

Auto

65.1 28%

Teleop

120.1 51%

Endgame

49.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score343.2pts

Blue projected score243.1pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.1
Score range: 216–370
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 544 vs event baseline 148.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

615.3Season APEX531.3

80.6Auto65.1

188.7Teleop120.1

69.9Endgame49.2

0Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	49
teleop	177	110
endgame	79	39
foul	15	10
total	336	208

Result

Final score

336 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts

Match videos

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