FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

269.75 – 226.69

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

271 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 1.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 435 ±10.5

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 120.8Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 25.22Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 123.73Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.3 ±11

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 77.45Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 76.96Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 72.28Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4398, 5486, 5216

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4398, 5486, 5216

Auto

55.0 21%

Teleop

145.8 55%

Endgame

62.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6637, 3452, 9674

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6637, 3452, 9674

Auto

43.4 20%

Teleop

121.7 55%

Endgame

57.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score269.8pts

Blue projected score226.7pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.1
Score range: 202–295
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 499 vs event baseline 139.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

435Season APEX364.3

55Auto43.4

145.8Teleop121.7

62.1Endgame57.4

51Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	34
teleop	150	130
endgame	61	64
foul	0	0
total	271	228

Result

Final score

271 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 1.3 pts

Match videos

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