FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

98.82 – 63.17

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

284 – 10

Prediction correct · off by 119.2 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.1 ±10.5

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 14.57Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 18.03Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 66.22Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.8 ±13.9

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 30.57Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 14.57Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 18.03Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9674, 3452, 3536

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9674, 3452, 3536

Auto

22.5 24%

Teleop

52.7 56%

Endgame

19.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6558, 6113, 4377

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6558, 6113, 4377

Auto

12.7 21%

Teleop

31.4 52%

Endgame

15.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.8pts

Blue projected score63.2pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.6
Score range: 43–119
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 113.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.1Season APEX162.8

22.5Auto12.7

52.7Teleop31.4

19.2Endgame15.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	5
teleop	183	2
endgame	56	3
foul	0	0
total	284	10

Result

Final score

284 – 10

Prediction correct · off by 119.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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