FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.89 – 213.64

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

138 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.1 ±12.8

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 24.11Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 19.26Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 76.52Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.6 ±12.1

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 65.78Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 82.16Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 65.7Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6112, 10605, 6637

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6112, 10605, 6637

Auto

23.8 20%

Teleop

61.7 53%

Endgame

31.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7814, 6077, 1596

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7814, 6077, 1596

Auto

18.2 9%

Teleop

135.5 64%

Endgame

57.7 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.9pts

Blue projected score213.6pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.7
Score range: 95–239
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 138.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

275.1Season APEX266.6

23.8Auto18.2

61.7Teleop135.5

31.2Endgame57.7

12Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	55
teleop	74	121
endgame	27	59
foul	10	0
total	138	235

Result

Final score

138 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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