FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

314.11 – 50.48

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

287 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.7 ±9.8

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 125.91Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 64.17Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4398Gladiators

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 124.03Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.7 ±13.3

5547The Talons

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 8.57Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 27.22Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9249Chassell Copper Country Cats

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 14.69Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5216, 10666, 4398

/ 100 compat

Projected

314.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5216, 10666, 4398

Auto

56.8 18%

Teleop

179.3 58%

Endgame

73.0 24%

Strengths

· 5216 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5547, 4377, 9249

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5547, 4377, 9249

Auto

14.6 31%

Teleop

18.6 39%

Endgame

14.3 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score314.1pts

Blue projected score50.5pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 263.6
Score range: 25–339
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 335 vs event baseline 137.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

484.7Season APEX194.7

56.8Auto14.6

179.3Teleop18.6

73Endgame14.3

102Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	8
teleop	155	26
endgame	79	14
foul	0	0
total	287	48

Result

Final score

287 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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