FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.61 – 139.27

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 17.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.5 ±13.3

6113M.A.R.C. 1

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX -10.93Rank 41Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 36.05Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 47.49Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373 ±11.7

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 6.36Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6121RoboVikes

Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 79Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 53.91Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6113, 10589, 7713

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6113, 10589, 7713

Auto

18.9 27%

Teleop

39.5 57%

Endgame

10.9 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9682, 6121, 857

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9682, 6121, 857

Auto

38.3 28%

Teleop

67.1 49%

Endgame

31.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.6pts

Blue projected score139.3pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.7
Score range: 48–164
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 138.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

211.5Season APEX373

18.9Auto38.3

39.5Teleop67.1

10.9Endgame31.7

56Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	21
teleop	67	80
endgame	12	33
foul	0	0
total	102	134

Result

Final score

102 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 17.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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