FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.81 – 123.81

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

136 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±11.7

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 87.46Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 3.15Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9674Trojan Power Robotics

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 76.2Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.9 ±11.7

7768The AutoMatons

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 37.9Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5878The Great Lakers

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 12.27Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4392The Deceivers

Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 73.64Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4967, 9733, 9674

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4967, 9733, 9674

Auto

35.2 22%

Teleop

86.1 53%

Endgame

42.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7768, 5878, 4392

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7768, 5878, 4392

Auto

30.0 24%

Teleop

75.9 61%

Endgame

17.6 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score166.8pts

Blue projected score123.8pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43
Score range: 99–192
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 138.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.4Season APEX265.9

35.2Auto30

86.1Teleop75.9

42Endgame17.6

67Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	33
teleop	64	22
endgame	27	14
foul	0	5
total	136	74

Result

Final score

136 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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