FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.09 – 212.26

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

124 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.1 ±12.8

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 21.92Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 73.77Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 7.4Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±11.7

3536Electro Eagles

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 111.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1596The Instigators

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 69.22Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 31.88Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6112, 3452, 9722

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6112, 3452, 9722

Auto

10.9 11%

Teleop

61.8 62%

Endgame

27.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3536, 1596, 6558

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3536, 1596, 6558

Auto

34.9 16%

Teleop

147.1 69%

Endgame

30.2 14%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.1pts

Blue projected score212.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.2
Score range: 78–237
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 137.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.1Season APEX346.8

10.9Auto34.9

61.8Teleop147.1

27.1Endgame30.2

0Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	42
teleop	43	113
endgame	57	43
foul	0	0
total	124	198

Result

Final score

124 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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