FIM District LSSU Event presented by Lake Superior State University

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

241.43 – 87.71

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

262 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.3 ±11.1

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 51.62Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 66.12Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 123.69Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.1 ±12.8

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 3.59Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 23.74Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 60.38Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 857, 7814, 5216

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 857, 7814, 5216

Auto

35.3 15%

Teleop

139.3 59%

Endgame

62.9 26%

Strengths

· 5216 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9682, 4377, 10666

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9682, 4377, 10666

Auto

19.5 24%

Teleop

45.4 55%

Endgame

17.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score241.4pts

Blue projected score87.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 153.7
Score range: 63–266
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 136.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.3Season APEX227.1

35.3Auto19.5

139.3Teleop45.4

62.9Endgame17.1

84Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	7
teleop	147	78
endgame	61	43
foul	5	0
total	262	128

Result

Final score

262 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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